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Market Roundup - 15th February 2011
We take a look at possible reasons for the dollar languishing in the doldrums and why the stock market still appears to be defying gravity.
What are the catalysts that could reverse these trends and how we can we trade them?
We also discuss why the yield curve is having a pronounced effect on the markets and take a look at where we are in the longer-term business cycle.
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Check out research by Laszlo Birinyi, mentioned P23 Weekend FT. He identifies four phases of a bull market: reluctance, consolidation, acceptance and exuberance. 50% of the rise happens in reluctance phase. The best case scenario he sees for S&P from here is 2,800 and his worst case is 1,750, with a small correction due over the next few months.
Maybe he is too exuberant.
Rising interest rates will change the risk:reward of equity investment but until then I remain, small correction/s aside, bullish and heavily invested.
I agree Diamonds are a girl's best friend and commend Diamondcorp (DCP) and Firestone Diamonds (FDI) for consideration. No advice intended, do your own research, for educational purposes only.
Further examples/info on my picks can be found here:
http://www.stockopedia.co.uk/content/highlights-from-my-portfolio-200211...
Kevin, many years ago you promised me increased social unrest as we move into a period of greater sunspot activity. I have to concede....you woz right. Now I just need to persuade you of the link between social unrest and the price of gold.